Monday, June 18, 2018

Dueling Reports over President Trump’s Coal, Nuclear Bailout (Washington Examiner, Daily on Energy)


(WASHINGTON, DC) -- Coal and nuclear plant closures over the next five years would have limited effect on the power grid, while keeping the plants open would financially harm power plant owners, the giant credit ratings firm Moody’s said in a report Friday.

What’s in a gigawatt? The new report focused on the impact of the closure of 35 gigawatts of coal-fired and nuclear power plants that are slated to go offline in the next five years, according to a summary of the report. A gigawatt is enough electricity to power 700,000 homes.

Trump ordered Energy Secretary Rick Perry to take steps to save the retiring coal and nuclear plants as a national security imperative. The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission is working its own process to understand the effects of the closures and respond if necessary.

“According to the report, the impact of these plant retirements on power capacity in the US will be limited,” Moody’s concluded. This is because approximately 32 gigawatts of new, mostly natural gas-fired power plants now under construction would fill in the gaps left by the closures.

More renewables: On top of that, about 72 gigawatts of renewable generation “is either in advanced development or under construction, with the majority slated for activation by 2020,” Moody’s said.

Too many power plants: If the coal and nuclear plants were to remain in the market for reliability reasons, as the president would like, the “excess capacity will continue to be a negative credit driver.”

Nuclear industry has a different opinion: Another study says the increased amount of natural gas coming onto the grid poses a problem for reliability. And the nuclear industry wants everyone to know about it.

The study was performed by the consulting firm ICF on behalf of the Nuclear Energy Institute, the industry’s top trade group.

The study “details how a future gas pipeline disruption, combined with continued nuclear power plant retirements, could lead to prolonged electricity service disruption in the areas served by the PJM Interconnection, the group said.